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## Arms Deals
#### Arms deals and similar forms of military aid create, prolong, and intensify conflict.
* [CATO: Thrall and Dorminey 18](https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/risky-business-role-arms-sales-us-foreign-policy#full)
* Arms sales **make conflict more likely**.
* Recipients of new weapons feel more confident about launching attacks or because changes in the local balance of power can fuel tensions and promote preventive strikes by others.
* Arms sales can also **prolong and intensify ongoing conflicts** and **erode regional stability**
* Some cited studies:
* Sub-Saharan Africa study: *“arms transfers are significant and positive predictors of increased probability of war.’”*
* Africa study: *"Weapons imports are essential additives in this recipe for armed conflict and carnage.”*